NOVPUB
Chapter 244: Chapter 121 Co-governance
Su Huai really did it.
The very first time he had a premonition, he directly guessed the outcome correctly.
But when he had that kind of vague premonition the next time, it was after 12 rounds.
And this time, he was wrong. 𝙣𝒐𝙫𝙥𝙪𝙗.𝙘𝙤𝙢
Was Destiny’s Intuition seriously lacking in accuracy?
However... no big deal.
Brother still has math.
Su Huai quickly devised a rudimentary probability controller, an X-axis and a Y-axis, divided into upper and lower parts by a 45-degree diagonal line, probability increase values on top, decrease values below, and then calculated the average return cycle using four doors with 5x small prizes.
Then he applied Hoeffding’s inequality to roughly calculate a relatively nice measure of uncertainty...
Forget it, stop, don’t go into details, or we’ll all go mad.
In any case, after understanding the logic behind it, Su Huai began to have premonitions more frequently.
The premonitions were not always right, but if a premonition became extremely strong, then the result was mostly correct.
What if you add Pei Shuyu’s Destiny’s Intuition to that?
It’s worth a try.
Having lurked in the live-stream room until after 11 o’clock, Su Huai suddenly popped up.
"Yuyu, I’ll play a couple of rounds with you."
"What?"
Pei Shuyu was taken aback, "Ah, Daddy, you’re done with your work?"
Turbid Dog Number Three: "Hmm, everyone’s slaying dragons, so I’ll join in on the fun. I’ll announce my bet beforehand, you see if you feel anything."
Pei Shuyu nodded happily, "Okay!"
After waiting for three rounds and having another premonition, Su Huai quickly barraged, "Next round, is it a snail?"
Pei Shuyu thought carefully for two seconds, then clapped her hands excitedly, "Yes, yes, yes! I think so too!"
Su Huai immediately maxed out his bet and slammed down 5,000 yuan.
He wasn’t rolling in cash at the moment, but he always had the small sum of 100,000 yuan to top up, just splashing some water.
After the betting period ended, a snail popped up on the game interface with a bang and slithered across the screen.
"Holy shit!"
Everyone in the streaming room, big brothers and little brothers alike, were all stunned, yelling and clamoring.
Love Like Tide: "Puppy, you definitely guessed, didn’t you?"
Xichu Overlord: "No way, how can you know everything?"
Guarding the most beautiful Yuyu: "Bro, what’s next round? I’ll be convinced if you get it right again~~~"
Su Huai responded professionally, "I don’t know the next round, I’m waiting for another high deviation."
"Wow!"
Pei Shuyu, completely baffled: "Daddy, I’m confused, but you seem so amazing..."
The players were also confused, and even Bai Qi started to doubt life itself, "For real? My head’s buzzing, can you actually calculate this stuff?"
Such a splendid opportunity to show off, how could Su Huai let it pass?
"Of course."
He replied nonchalantly, "It’s a game of unnatural probabilities, if you don’t rely on calculations, what else can you do? Just like you guys, throwing money in?"
"Damn it!"
The gamblers who loved to play but always lost were furious, cursing and grumbling in dissatisfaction.
"Stop bullshitting!"
"Try to hit it right another round if you dare!"
Just then, Su Huai had another premonition during a period of large deviation leading to a dense area of 56, so he immediately took up the challenge, "Okay, watch carefully. Yuyu, 5 or 6?"
Pei Shuyu hesitated for two seconds and then shook her head in conflict, "I’m not sure, Daddy, it feels like it’s a 56, but it seems fake..."
Huh?
Su Huai was startled and as soon as he heard her judgment, his premonition turned into a strong doubt.
If it’s not 56, what could it be?
There wasn’t enough time to think it over again, so Su Huai simply gave up betting and started contemplating the influence of Pei Shuyu’s intuition on his own.
Playing Dragon Slayer was, after all, to test things out, winning or losing wasn’t important, clarifying the intuitive judgment mechanism was key.
And... it actually turned out to be a 5!
Su Huai got a good teasing from Love Like Tide and the others.
"You guessed it right, so why didn’t you bet?!"
While keeping records, Su Huai bantered with them, "Do you feel like you’ve got it now? Well, try winning then!"
"Damn, you’re such a dog!"
Pei Shuyu, full of regret, tried to make peace, "I’m sorry, Daddy, it’s all my fault..."
Su Huai reassured her gently, "It’s okay, it’s just for fun, don’t mind it. Keep giving your suggestions, we win or lose together."
To be fair, a person’s character is clearer when you see their gambling nature rather than how they handle their liquor.
Su Huai’s nonchalance removed the guilt from Pei Shuyu’s heart, and she was in great form for the remainder of the time, delivering zingers one after another.
The bunch of them had a lively and entertaining time for over an hour.
Of course, the real highlight was... Su Huai finally came to a conclusion.
Creating premonitions with Dragon Slayer was difficult, and not every premonition was correct.
It was about one premonition every ten rounds, and on average, one out of every three premonitions was right.
Pei Shuyu had a relatively negative impact on this process.
Why?
Her Destiny’s Intuition was a full version, yet her accuracy was lower than Su Huai’s!
Because Su Huai had already defeated the mechanism of Dragon Slayer—using probability control.
If we were to describe it in a non-mathematical way...
Better not to describe it, actually.
In any case, the overall expected value of the Dragon Slayer game was around 94.8, and Su Huai could achieve around 150 with probability control and Destiny’s Intuition combined, meaning: every 100 yuan invested would return 150 yuan.
By the end of the game, everyone did the math and found that they had either lost small or broke even, except for Su Huai, who had won about 40,000 yuan.
And this was even after they followed Su Huai and hit a few rounds in the later stages.
Everyone was baffled, both bemused and impressed.
Love Like Tide: "Bro Gou, my real brother, how did you do it? Teach me!"
Xichu Overlord: "Are you a freak?"
Bai Qi: "Great God, I bow to you, how are you good at everything?!"
Ahem, is it my turn to show off again?
